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Safaricom Sees Reduced Losses in Ethiopia, Forecasts 50% Earnings Growth by 2026

Valter Cumbi by Valter Cumbi
May 26, 2025
in Africa, Development, Economy, FA, Finance, Telecom
Reading Time: 2 mins read
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Kenyan telecoms giant Safaricom has reported a substantial reduction in losses from its operations in Ethiopia, signalling a strong turnaround in its regional expansion strategy.

The company also forecasts a surge in group earnings of up to 50% for the fiscal year ending March 2026, reflecting improving operational performance and growing market penetration.

Safaricom’s entry into Ethiopia—Africa’s second most populous nation—was viewed as a bold move into a previously closed telecoms market. After initial setbacks and high start-up costs, the company now reports a more optimistic outlook as subscriber growth and mobile money adoption begin to scale.

Also read: Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed Makes Unannounced Visit to Paris

In its latest earnings guidance, Safaricom credited the narrowing losses to cost optimisation, network expansion, and increased customer uptake of data and financial services. The firm’s Ethiopian subsidiary has steadily grown its user base and is benefitting from a broader shift in consumer behaviour towards digital connectivity and cashless payments.

The projected growth in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) comes at a time when the company is also consolidating its dominance in the Kenyan market. Safaricom continues to leverage its flagship M-Pesa platform to drive revenue, while investing in 5G infrastructure and regional partnerships to future-proof its services.

Analysts view the developments in Ethiopia as a validation of Safaricom’s long-term strategy to expand beyond Kenya and tap into emerging markets with high digital potential.

Also read: Ethiopia’s Inflation Set to Drop to 10% in the 2025/26 Fiscal Year

With Ethiopia’s telecom sector liberalisation gaining pace, Safaricom’s improved financial performance could pave the way for deeper investment and service diversification in one of Africa’s fastest-growing economies.

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Tags: africaEast Africa digital economyEthiopiaEthiopian telecom marketKenya telecom sectorM-Pesa EthiopiaSafaricom 2026 forecastSafaricom Ethiopia earningsSafaricom profitsSafaricom regional expansionSafaricom subscriber growthtelecom investment Ethiopiaафрикаэфиопияأثيوبياأفريقياアフリカエチオピア埃塞俄比亚非洲
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Valter Cumbi

Valter Cumbi

Valter Cumbi is a Senior Solutions and Software Architect that is frequently called upon to deliver technical solutions from business needs. As a Team Leader and Project Manager he has proven ability to tackle complex issues and quickly adapt to new situations/demands. His voice of experience contributes to Mozambique's digital development as a Digital Transformation Advisor in the Economic Stimulus Package, and a Work Bank consultant. Valter, blessed with opportunities such as setting up the Mozambique's first mobile TV to designing and implementing the first hybrid pre & post paid bundle system, gained experience in implementing end-to-end sophisticated technical solutions. Compounded with his business involvement and appreciation for telecommunication's potential as a medium for positive change, he brings drive, vision, and experience to his endeavours. This was displayed with an innovative mHealth platform—called PENSA *660#—that he conceived, fundraised, and implemented. It has since turned into one of the most important vehicles for dissemination of health information in Mozambique and has over 60 million consultations from over 4 million users nation-wide. Recently, Valter was recognized as an MIT Solver 2020 and Elevate Prize Fellow 2020 for his social work and impact through the PENSA *660# project.

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